Complexity Continued
I have pondered for several weeks now exactly how to define “complexity”. One can easily retreat to principles like complex systems being typified by emergent behaviour. These are evidences of a complex system. One could sum them up in the aphorism “The whole is more than the sum of its parts” – but extend this to say that at times the whole is less than the sum of its parts. And that aphorism would come close to capturing a key element of complexity.
Perhaps to better understand this concept it is worth considering the scientific method. As pointed out by Gharajedaghi, in the scientific method the whole is NO MORE than the sum of its parts i.e. A=B+C+D. The scientific method then suggests that, for example, we hold C and D constant and they measure the impact of varying B on the sum of the parts (A). Under the scientific method this allows the scientist to actually understand more about the nature of B and how it affects A.
Complex systems, on the other hand, do not necessarily reflect a direct correlation between variations in A as a result of varying B. The outcome may actually vary from analysis to analysis. To take the concept just a little further, varying B,C or D or any combination of these three may result in the same outcome with respect to A. Clearly something else is impacting the changing nature of the outcome.
Complexity analysis looks at A, B, C and D as a collective which interacts as a system. Furthermore A, B, C and D are understood to be independently acting, purposeful systems – systems which seek their own outcomes. Thus the outcome reflects the results of a continuous, struggle to find a balance between the purposes of the independent elements and the purpose of the collective higher system. Clearly this is that nature of social systems.
It explains, for example, the behaviour noted by the Tavistock Institute team in the productivity of coal seam mining as a result of new technologies. It is also explains why, for example, Government policies fail first contact with the public. The recent debacle surrounding the well intended insulation subsidy scheme is a good example. In time the thinking surrounding the so called “Super Tax” on the mining industry will need to understand how to trade the purposes of the various elements to achieve a desirable outcome.
I guess the final important thing to note here is that understanding and shaping behaviour in complex systems is not a one off event. The trade between purposeful elements is a continuous negotiation between individual purposes and the higher purposes of any system.
Trust and the Online Environment
This is more in the line of a hypothesis which I have been pondering.
The transmission of information between humans has been a characteristic of the human species since we began to form communities on the plains of Africa. We have developed ever more sophisticated means to transmit information between individuals, groups and generations allowing us to not only develop the tools for survival, but to make life more comfortable. This has in turn provides us, as a species, with the luxury of time to exchange esoteric ideas about subjects as broad as the origins and purpose of life, the development of meaningful existence and the role of relative moral basis for life.
Prior to the industrial revolution, these ideas were frequently spread within reasonably confined areas. The transmission of oral myths and legends were transmitted by the storytellers who shared with their audience a common set of beliefs and a largely shared worldview. From those times, right down to the industrial revolution ideas were generally shared and understood on the basis of common belief systems and worldviews. Interpretation of “scripture” for instance, was undertaken by the select few and the results proffered to a grateful community who frequently accepted said interpretation without question.
As the industrial revolution empowered the movement of people across the world, ideas were encountered that were foreign, that required deep consideration in order to understand how these new ideas impacted belief structures. A branch of specialists arose who acted as the translators between the new ideas. They provided an interpretation, and in many cases, a buffer which maintained a sense of “them and us” with respect to outside communities.
And then along came the World Wide Web. Individuals could scan ideas from anywhere in the world and integrate them into their own thinking / belief systems etc.
In recent joint civil / military exercises based on large scale disaster response scenarios, observers noted that the development of trust between representatives of culturally disparate organisations appears to be a necessary step in the development of a shared basis of action to respond to exercise situations. Behaviour such as sharing family photographs, life experiences and world views provided an opportunity for individuals to build a cultural understanding from which they could establish a sufficiently robust relationship to work through the issues and challenges associated with the scenario.
A similar behaviour may be perceived in the rise of the so called Web 2.0 phenomenon. As shown in the figure below, a range of capabilities have been developed to share information between individuals and groups. The base layer of the triangle shows examples of the types of technologies developed to share information through the transmission of hard copy media, stories and pictures.
Intro to My Blog
Many of those who know me will tell you that I am an opinionated bloke. They will also tell you that I am a grumpy "angry ant". On these charges I plead guilty. But the real truth is that I probably spend too much time thinking, reading and thinking some more. Unfortunately this is a past time which is no longer very well regarded in Australian society. We are supposed to sit around and watch other people's lives played out on television and ponder what the next item is that we are supposed to purchase that we don't really read. Discussion about the real issues that face our society and humanity are "someone else's problem - probably the Government's problem.."
Anyway, if there is anyone who actually wants to hear what I think, this is where I will place my thoughts on a range of subjects. I doubt anyone will read them, but hey it's good for my sanity...

